Tag Archives: forecasting

Hindsight

I have been cleaning out my office in preparation for moving from DC to Chicago. I came across a small publication by GaveKal Research entitled Our Brave New World, published in 2005. It argued that the outlook for the global … Continue reading

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The Value of Forecasting

“The trouble with the world is that the stupid are cocksure and the intelligent full of doubt.” – Bertrand Russell Jonah Lehrer asked recently: Do Political Experts Know What They’re Talking About? He talks with Dr. Philip Tetlock, who is … Continue reading

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